Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Israel	Sport 1
Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Portuguesa		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.1	2
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	4.25	3.2	2
	3.97	3.16	2.01	Watch
	3.75	2.9	2.05
	4.11	3.24	1.94	Watch
	4	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.93)	3.13 ↓ (3.65)	1.99 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
23.4%

Draw
29.8%

São Paulo
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

25.1%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Portuguesa - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Alex Silva 3. Gustavo Henrique 4. Alex Nascimento 16. Pedro Henrique 8. Hudson 5. Fernando Henrique 11. Daniel Junior 7. Jaja 9. Renan Peixoto 19. Maceio	93. Jandrei (G) 32. Ferraresi N. 22. Ruan Tressoldi 35. Sabino 36. Patryck 4. Longo S. 21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 20. Marcos Antonio 11. Ferreira 17. Andre Silva
Substitutes
18. Barba 12. Bruno Bertinato (G) 13. Eduardo Biazus 21. Everton 20. Guilherme Portuga 23. Gustavo Talles 17. Henrique Almeida 25. Kaue 6. Lucas Hipolito 14. Mauricio 10. Rildo 15. Taua	13. Diaz E. 37. Henrique Carmo 34. Igor O. G. 9. Jonathan Calleri 48. Lucas Ferreira 42. Maik 47. Matheus Alves 8. Oscar 23. Rafael (G) 5. Robert Arboleda 15. Rodriguinho 49. Ryan Francisco
Coaches
Cauan de Almeida	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Andre Silva (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Longo S. 🟨,
59', Longo S. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
65', Jaja ↓, Rildo ↑,
65', Daniel Junior ↓, Everton ↑,
65', Hudson ↓, Taua ↑,
73', Andre Silva ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
74', Alex Silva 🟨,
76', Maceio ↓, Guilherme Portuga ↑,
80', Patryck 🟨,
81', Renan Peixoto ↓, Kaue ↑,
82', Patryck ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
82', Erick ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
82', Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
85', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
90+1', Taua 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Ryan Francisco ⚽, Bobadilla D. (A),
90+4', Fernando Henrique 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 0.

São Paulo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.6:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Portuguesa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
15.01.25	Palmeiras - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
28.09.24	Votuporanguense - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Paulo - Guarani	1:0 ✺
20.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.01.24	São Paulo - Portuguesa	1:0
26.01.23	São Paulo - Portuguesa	4:1
08.04.15	São Paulo - Portuguesa	3:0
15.02.14	São Paulo - Portuguesa	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
02.11.13	São Paulo - Portuguesa	2:1
11.08.13	Portuguesa - São Paulo	2:1
15.09.12	São Paulo - Portuguesa	3:1

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