Match Info

Date: 7 July 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport
Germany	02:30	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	02:30	DAZN Italia
Poland	02:30	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV
Slovenia	02:30	Arena Sport


	São Paulo		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.75
	1.68	3.5	4.9
	1.7	3.65	4.6
	1.72	3.86	5.12
	1.65	3.4	5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)	3.69 ↓ (4.05)	4.87 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Espa√±ol

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
55.4%

Draw
25.4%

Universidad Católica
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.5%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.8%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	21.4%	16.7%

São Paulo - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 26 - 61.9%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 47.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Universidad Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Universidad Católica have a series of home games.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.22	Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.06.22	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.06.22	São Paulo - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWTWL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
03.07.22	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.06.22	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	2:4 ✺
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Universidad Católica - Unión San Felipe	3:0 ✺
18.06.22	Unión San Felipe - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
30.06.22	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	2:4
23.10.13	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	3:4
26.09.13	São Paulo - Universidad Católica	1:1
28.11.12	São Paulo - Universidad Católica	0:0
22.11.12	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	São Paulo - Corinthians	✺
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	✺

São Paulo - Universidad Católica