Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	São Paulo		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	7	Watch
	1.52	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.51	4.08	6.5
	1.66	3.04	6.67	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.49	4.05	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.28)	3.76 ↓ (5)	6.5 ↓ (9.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
60.9%

Draw
24.8%

Juventude
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

18.4%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

São Paulo - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Juventude (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 2. Toloi R. 28. Franco A. 18. Wendell 33. Luan Silva 94. Danielzinho 37. Artur 10. Luciano 80. Cauly 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)	12. Pedro Rocha (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 44. Mandaca 5. Luan Martins 16. Diogo Barbosa 75. Rai Silva 17. Castro M. 9. Alan Kardec
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 48. Djhordney 34. dos Santos P. 30. Felipe Negrucci 45. Lucca Marques 4. Matheus Doria 46. Pedro Ferreira 35. Sabino 21. Soares C. 14. Tapia G.	25. Alisson Safira 11. Fabio Lima 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 79. Joao Scatolin 53. Kaynan 15. Leo Indio 8. Lucas Mineiro 10. MP 22. Nathan Santos 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi
Coaches
Roger Machado	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Rodrigo Sam 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Artur (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Diogo Barbosa 🟥,
56', Alan Kardec ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
69', Luan Martins 🟨,
71', Luan Silva ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
71', Luan Martins ↓, Leo Indio ↑,
71', Rai Silva ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
71', Mandaca 🟨,
81', Luciano ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
84', Mandaca ↓, Alisson Safira ↑,
85', Marcos Paulo ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
90+1', Jonathan Calleri (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Cauly ↓, Djhordney ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, São Paulo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	São Paulo - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Boston River - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Caxias - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Fortaleza - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.11.25	São Paulo - Juventude	2:1
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1
04.12.24	São Paulo - Juventude	1:2
21.07.24	Juventude - São Paulo	0:0
23.10.22	Juventude - São Paulo	1:2
26.06.22	São Paulo - Juventude	0:0
Copa do Brasil
12.05.22	São Paulo - Juventude	2:0

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