Match Info

Date: 30 June 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo (Santiago de Chile) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ferreyra C. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport
Germany	02:30	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	02:30	DAZN Italia
Poland	02:30	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV
Slovenia	02:30	Arena Sport


	Universidad Católica		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.55	Watch
	3	2.87	2.5
	3	2.95	2.43
	3.05	2.85	2.49
	3.2	2.95	2.62
	3.1	2.7	2.45	Watch
	3.08	2.86	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.41)	2.87 ↓ (3.19)	2.52 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
30.4%

Draw
32.6%

São Paulo
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.2%

29%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

29.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.3%	46.5%	37.2%

Universidad Católica - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 46.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.6% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently São Paulo have a series of home games.

São Paulo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Universidad Católica - Unión San Felipe	3:0 ✺
18.06.22	Unión San Felipe - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Universidad Católica - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.22	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
26.06.22	São Paulo - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
16.06.22	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	São Paulo - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.10.13	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	3:4
26.09.13	São Paulo - Universidad Católica	1:1
28.11.12	São Paulo - Universidad Católica	0:0
22.11.12	Universidad Católica - São Paulo	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	✺
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	São Paulo - Corinthians	✺

Universidad Católica - São Paulo