Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 13

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	São Paulo U20		Criciúma U20

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.35
	1.7	3.97	4.46
	1.68	3.87	4.3	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4
	1.64	3.84	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	4.29 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Criciúma U20
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Criciúma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

São Paulo U20 - Criciúma U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Igor Felisberto ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Amaro L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 3 - 0, dos Santos P. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 17).

São Paulo U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Criciúma U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

São Paulo U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Paulo U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo U20 - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
17.05.26	América MG U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	São Paulo U20 - Bahia U20	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLT
- Criciúma U20
Brasileiro U20
16.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
09.05.26	Chapecoense U20 - Criciúma U20	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
06.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Criciúma U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
02.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Avaí U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
21.01.25	Criciúma U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2
Copa do Brasil U20
16.10.24	Criciúma U20 - São Paulo U20	0:4

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