Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	São Paulo U20		Ferroviaria U20

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	5.9
	1.39	4.45	6.19
	1.12	8.03	14.03	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.06
	1.4	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	5.09 ↑ (4.38)	7.9 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
69.8%

Draw
18.3%

Ferroviaria U20
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo U20's performance.

Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

São Paulo U20 - Ferroviaria U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Santana G. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,
86', 🟥,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, São Paulo U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	São Paulo U20 - Osasco Sporting U20	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Osasco Sporting U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	São Paulo U20 - Mauá U20	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Mauá U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTWT
- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Ibrachina U20 - Ferroviaria U20	0:1 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ibrachina U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	4:2 ✺
05.09.25	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
03.10.25	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0
Brazilian Copinha
14.01.24	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2
09.01.24	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1
13.01.19	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2
09.01.19	Ferroviaria U20 - São Paulo U20	2:2

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