Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.9	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.7
	2.15	3	3.75	Watch
	2.22	2.89	3.9
	2.27	2.93	4.08
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.15	3.1	3.79	Watch
	2.12	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.28)	2.95 ↓ (3.23)	3.84 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
43.6%

Draw
31.9%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Ascoli - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 55. Bellusci G. 33. Botteghin E. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 41. Valzania L. 18. Di Tacchio F. 8. Giovane S. 13. Celia R. 90. Mendes P. 11. Streng J.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 2. Scaglia F. 55. Masiello A. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 21. Tait F. (C) 4. Arrigoni T. 17. Casiraghi D. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
12. Bolletta L. (G) 10. Caligara F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 5. Gagliolo R. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 73. Masini P. 20. Milanese T. 14. Quaranta D. 99. Rodriguez P. 16. Vaisanen S. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 7. Zedadka K.	15. Broh J. T. 3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 26. Cisco A. 12. Drago G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 27. Kurtic J. 77. Lonardi L. 99. Mallamo A. 9. Pecorino E. 42. Peeters D. 23. Rauti N.
Coaches
Castori F.	Valente F.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Ascoli - Bari	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTTTL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - FeralpiSalò	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggiana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	3:1
15.04.23	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
27.11.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	2:2

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