The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Səbail 48.1%
Draw 26.3%
Gabala 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
29%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
25.2%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Gabala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Səbail that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Səbail - Gabala Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Səbail will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gabala will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Agayev S. (G) 11. Abdullazada R. 14. Allouch S. 3. Deslandes S. 44. Lugasi Y. 17. Maharramli R. 5. Nagiyev A. (C) 21. Najah A. 88. Pana 27. Pedro N. 9. Ramalingom A.
1. Azizli R. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 27. Ahmadov E. 12. Aliyev N. 9. Allach A. 10. Bauque C. 72. Khalaila O. 3. Ochigava Z. 25. Ramazanov I. 7. Safarov E. 30. Shahniyarov S.
Substitutes
19. Abdullayev S. 18. Ahmadov S. 6. Amirli D. 55. Bardea N. 15. Hasanov V. 8. Haziyev B. 7. Maddi 77. Masika A. 4. Mehremic A. 74. Nabiyev Y. 12. Quliyev H. (G) 10. Ramazanov A.
71. Agalarov S. 17. Akakpo Y. 20. Aouacheria B. 13. Atangana C. (G) 99. Isaiah A. 11. Mammadov A. 2. Qyrtymov I. 97. Suleymanov E. 36. Sultanov E. (G) 19. Tetteh S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
14', Ochigava Z. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Ramalingom A. (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Khalaila O. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Allach A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Pedro N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 2 - 3, Khalaila O. (Pen),
60', Pana ↓, Maddi ↑,
60', Abdullazada R. ↓, Nabiyev Y. ↑,
62', Safarov E. 🟨,
66', Bauque C. ↓, Aouacheria B. ↑,
67', Lugasi Y. 🟨,
75', Lugasi Y. ↓, Masika A. ↑,
75', Allouch S. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
81', Allach A. ↓, Akakpo Y. ↑,
81', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Mammadov A. ↑,
84', Ramazanov I. 🟨,
84', Ramalingom A. ↓, Mehremic A. ↑,
90+2', Safarov E. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
Preview
Gabala is Relegated to I Liqa
Last 5 head-to-head matches Səbail won 3.
Recent matches Səbail is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gabala has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gabala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Səbail is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Səbail won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 26-35.
Including matches at home between the teams Səbail won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.