Match Info

I Liqa - Round 10

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: ASCO Arena (Baku)


	Səbail		Difai Ağsu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.55	9	Watch
	1.26	4.91	8.91
	1.17	6.61	11.33	Watch
	1.25	4.4	11
	1.26	4.6	11
	1.23	4.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.29)	4.97 ↑ (4.6)	10.12 ↑ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Səbail
72.9%

Draw
18.2%

Difai Ağsu
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19.7%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Səbail - Difai Ağsu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Səbail will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Difai will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Haciyev R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 2 - 0, Qasymov E. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, Qasymov E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone I Liqa (Relegation)).

Səbail has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Difai has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Səbail may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Səbail is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Səbail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.25	Səbail - Cəbrayıl	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Baku Sporting - Səbail	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Səbail - MOIK Baku	1:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
23.10.25	Şəfa - Səbail	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLT
- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.25	Difai Ağsu - Sumgayit	1:3 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.25	Difai Ağsu - MOIK Baku	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Şəfa - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Difai Ağsu - Zagatala	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Shimal - Difai Ağsu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
18.09.25	Difai Ağsu - Səbail	1:2

Upcoming Matches