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Current Win Probability
Técnico Universitario 47.9%
Draw 30.1%
Delfín 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
30.2%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
28.7%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Técnico Universitario's performance.
Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Delfín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Técnico Universitario that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Delfín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Técnico Universitario - Delfín Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Morales A. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 13. Anaya J. 5. Mena S. 85. Arce Y. 7. Estupinan L. 33. Majao J. 29. Cela A. 25. Delgado B. 8. Armas D. (C) 10. Johan Bocanegra
21. Heras B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 78. Ushina K. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F. 10. Luna D.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 70. Castano M. 19. Castillo A. 4. Cordova 79. Cuero Q. C. A. 9. Guardia H. 1. Razzeto S. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.
3. Aimar D. 7. Alvarez A. 31. Arce J. 51. Banguera C. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 70. Espinoza E. 80. Pena B. 11. Perinciolo F.
Coaches
Blanco I.
Leon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Arce Y. 🟨,
37', Medina O. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Delgado B. ⚽, Cela A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arce Y. ↓, Cuero Q. C. A. ↑,
55', Ushina K. 🟨,
60', Cela A. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
75', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Ayunta F. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Guardia H. ↑,
82', Ushina K. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
82', Ozaeta T. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
82', Luna D. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
83', Guardia H. 🟨,
84', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
89', Delgado B. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
90+4', Heredia G. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.
Técnico Univ has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Delfín has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Técnico Univ could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Técnico Univ carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Técnico Univ has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Técnico Univ against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.1 per game).
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Morales A. (G) 
Anaya J. 
Heredia G. 
Guardia H. 
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