Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 27

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mushuc Runa		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	6	Watch
	1.58	3.50	5.00
	1.55	3.65	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.75	6.57
	1.55	3.88	6.23	Watch
	1.56	3.6	6.65
	1.59	3.64	6.06	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	5.93 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
59.1%

Draw
25.3%

Delfín
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mushuc Runa - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 99. Angulo C. 4. Biojo R. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 10. Mina F. 8. Zambrano A. 19. Corozo B. 28. Perea M. 30. Ibarra R. 11. Bazan N.	21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 78. Ushina K. 34. Heredia G. 70. Espinoza E. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F. 10. Luna D.
Substitutes
14. Caicedo E. 61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 2. Flor F. 18. Gonzalez J. 23. Lemos L. 55. Macias S. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 52. Merino D. 7. Minda T. 42. Pabon W. (G) 26. Peralta K.	3. Aimar D. 31. Arce J. 51. Banguero C. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 77. Hernandez B. 8. Moreno K. 80. Pena B. 11. Perinciolo F. 99. Tenorio L.
Coaches
Velez P.	Leon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Corozo B. 🟨,
24', Perea M. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
26', Bedoya A. 🟨,
30', Espinoza E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Bazan N. ⚽, Minda T. (A),
70', Espinoza E. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
70', Ozaeta T. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
79', Mina F. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
80', Bazan N. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
82', Ibarra R. 🟨,
82', Rubio E. 🟨,
90+3', Rubio E. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
90+7', Ayunta F. 🟨,
90+7', Ibarra R. ↓, Lemos L. ↑,
90+7', Corozo B. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2.

Mushuc Runa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mushuc Runa is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:4. (average 2.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
10.08.26	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Manta - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWWL
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.26	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
20.08.26	Juventud Italiana - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Delfín - Orense	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.05.26	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	1:0
15.06.25	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	3:1
17.02.25	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	2:0
08.11.24	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	4:2
19.05.24	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	5:0
16.09.23	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	2:0
16.04.23	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	3:0

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