Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 26

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Delfín		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.85	2.40	Watch
	2.85	2.90	2.30
	3.05	3.00	2.28
	3.12	3.07	2.56
	3.42	2.89	2.35	Watch
	3.05	2.90	2.55
	3.12	2.92	2.46	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.32)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
30%

Draw
31.7%

SD Aucas
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

31.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

30.2%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Delfín - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aucas (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 14. Zuniga E. 34. Heredia G. 18. Morocho J. 78. Ushina K. 10. Luna D. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F.	13. Piedra H. (C) 37. Zova A. 4. Burdisso M. 2. Morales S. 63. Garcia A. 6. Spina A. L. 30. Oyola B. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 57. Vera M. 9. Monti R.
Substitutes
3. Aimar D. 31. Arce J. 51. Banguera C. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 33. Cisneros Montenegro A. A. 23. Cornejo L. 70. Espinoza E. 77. Hernandez B. 20. Molano I. 8. Moreno K. 80. Pena B.	7. Andrade J. M. 11. Bolanos R. 12. Cabezas J. (G) 31. Carabali B. 34. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 20. Espinosa D. S. 5. Serpa T. 14. Tapiero S. 17. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Leon J.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Morales S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oyola B. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
46', Vera M. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
53', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
59', Monti R. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
64', Ozaeta T. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
67', Bedoya A. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Guzman P. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
72', Garcia A. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
75', Heredia G. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
75', Ushina K. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
75', Luna D. ↓, Pena B. ↑,
78', Zuniga E. 🟨,
79', Morocho J. 🟨,
87', Morocho J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 0.

Recent form of Delfín has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aucas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aucas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Last Results with these Odds

SD Aucas - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Copa
20.08.26	Juventud Italiana - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Delfín - Orense	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.08.26	SD Aucas - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
12.08.26	La Unión - SD Aucas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.08.26	SD Aucas - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Emelec - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.04.26	SD Aucas - Delfín	1:0
13.12.25	Delfín - SD Aucas	0:1
10.11.25	SD Aucas - Delfín	8:0
26.07.25	SD Aucas - Delfín	2:1
05.04.25	Delfín - SD Aucas	1:1
24.11.24	SD Aucas - Delfín	2:0
25.05.24	Delfín - SD Aucas	2:0

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