Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	TPS		Haka

	1	X	2
	3.87	4.21	1.71	Watch
	2	3.5	3
	2.07	3.82	3.1	Watch
	2.05	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (1.96)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
38.9%

Draw
25.1%

Haka
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

23.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TPS's form might have worsened.

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.

TPS - Haka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lauri D. (G)
16. Anini S.
7. Harjanne R.
26. Ikonen L.
20. Kauppila M.
14. Koivuniemi S.
13. Konkkola M.
18. Rajamaki N.
4. Sairinen A.
17. Sihvonen A.
8. Zaal T.
Substitutes
11. Aitos J.
5. Azongnitode C.
22. Coulibaly A.
25. Euren
2. Haggstrom O.
30. Harju N. (G)
6. Juvanteny P.
28. Vakiparta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.

TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

TPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Club Friendly
19.12.25	TPS - KaPa	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	TPS - Åbo IFK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.10.25	KTP Kotka - TPS	2:3 ✺
23.10.25	TPS - KTP Kotka	3:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
18.10.25	TPS - Lahti	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWT
- FC Haka
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Lahti - Haka	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.10.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	FF Jaro - Haka	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	VPS Vaasa - Haka	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Haka - Oulu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
04.05.22	TPS - Haka	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
01.04.21	Haka - TPS	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.20	Haka - TPS	2:1
09.09.20	TPS - Haka	2:3
Club Friendly
12.06.20	Haka - TPS	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.19	Haka - TPS	1:2
20.07.19	TPS - Haka	2:3

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