Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 32

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Elva

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.43
	5.4	4.7	1.43	Watch
	5.07	4.59	1.41
	5.36	4.77	1.45	Watch
	5.51	4.7	1.42
	5.4	4.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↓ (5.41)	4.66 ↑ (4.6)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
17%

Draw
19.5%

Elva
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

19.7%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

23.5%

75.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tabasalu - Elva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 17. Riigov R. 44. Annion F. (C) 16. Pelt K. 12. Suppi S. 66. Salei S. 32. Anepaio A. 80. Taal J. 47. Ennuste K. 7. Pormeister K. 30. Rumberg R.	1. Kruus K. (G) 36. Ilves E. 6. Kutt V. 3. Kuismala J. 55. Lani G. 33. Harm H. 15. Jaagant R. 10. Reilson J. (C) 9. Villems M. 28. Lehter D. 18. Poldsaar K.
Substitutes
4. Janter J. 27. Koort K. (G) 9. Padrik M. 77. Roste R. 14. Vaherna M. 26. Vuks H. O.	22. Alev P. 20. Epro T. E. 12. Janes M. M. (G) 13. Kanter J. 26. Saal K. 16. Thomson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Lehter D. ⚽,
35', Pormeister K. ↓, Janter J. ↑,
45', Suppi S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Riigov R. ↓, Vuks H. O. ↑,
46', Harm H. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
68', 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Poldsaar K. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Alev P. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga
05.10.24	Tabasalu - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:2 ✺
24.09.24	FC Tallinn - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
19.09.24	Tabasalu - Flora U21	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Elva - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
06.10.24	Elva - FC Tallinn	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Elva - Tartu Welco	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Flora U21 - Elva	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Paide U21 - Elva	3:4 ✺
15.09.24	Elva - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
15.09.24	Elva - Tabasalu	3:1
13.07.24	Tabasalu - Elva	2:2
21.04.24	Elva - Tabasalu	3:1
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Elva - Tabasalu	1:4
Estonian Esiliiga
29.10.23	Elva - Tabasalu	3:0
08.07.23	Tabasalu - Elva	4:0
21.05.23	Elva - Tabasalu	2:3

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