Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 27

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Nike Arena (Elva)


	Elva		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.8	6.5
	1.33	5	7	Watch
	1.32	5.6	6
	1.34	5.46	6.33	Watch
	1.31	5	7.5
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.51)	5.14 ↑ (4.33)	6.72 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
68.7%

Draw
17.7%

Tabasalu
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

21%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elva's performance.

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Elva - Tabasalu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kruus K. (G) 2. Harm H. 6. Kutt V. 3. Kuismala J. 55. Lani G. 15. Jaagant R. 25. Karasjov N. 10. Reilson J. (C) 17. Kuresoo J. 18. Poldsaar K. 28. Lehter D.	1. Kristel R. (G) 44. Annion F. 25. Raaper H. 13. Subka M. (C) 30. Rumberg R. 66. Salei S. 80. Taal J. 32. Anepaio A. 7. Pormeister K. 14. Vaherna M. 47. Ennuste K.
Substitutes
22. Alev P. 21. Ivaste A. 12. Janes M. M. (G) 13. Kanter J. 5. Paring R. 26. Saal K. 16. Thomson M. 30. Ulper J.	27. Koort K. (G) 16. Pelt K. 55. Poder M. 17. Riigov R. 22. Rocco R. 21. Toompuu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Lehter D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Poldsaar K. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Poldsaar K. ⚽,
66', Liik M. ↓, Kanter J. ↑,
66', Ormisson M. V. ↓, Alev P. ↑,
77', Toompuu M. 🟨,
77', Ivaste A. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Vaherna M. ⚽,
85', Riigov R. 🟨,
88', Salei S. 🟨,
89', Kuresoo J. ↓, Paring R. ↑,
90', Reilson J. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.24	Elva - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tartu Welco - Elva	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Elva - Paide U21	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Viimsi JK - Elva	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	FC Tallinn - Elva	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.8 WTWLW
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.24	Tabasalu - Tartu Welco	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
20.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tabasalu	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Tabasalu - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
13.07.24	Tabasalu - Elva	2:2
21.04.24	Elva - Tabasalu	3:1
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Elva - Tabasalu	1:4
Estonian Esiliiga
29.10.23	Elva - Tabasalu	3:0
08.07.23	Tabasalu - Elva	4:0
21.05.23	Elva - Tabasalu	2:3
27.04.23	Tabasalu - Elva	1:0

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