The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paide U21 34%
Draw 22%
Tabasalu 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
24.3%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
25.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paide U21's form might have worsened.
Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tabasalu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paide U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabasalu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
4.8%
95.2%
Paide U21 - Tabasalu Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Tabasalu will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tabasalu: 86.1% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Tabasalu (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Paide U21 (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Tabasalu (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tabasalu will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Paide U21 (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tabasalu (votes: 19 - 82.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Isakar R. (G) 88. Kool R. 32. Kiik K. 46. Reivik K. (C) 37. Kanne K. 26. Luts R. 22. Soo S. 41. Ounpuu R. 71. Kallas K. 49. Lehtmaa H. 17. Cham P. A.
12. Ilves R. (G) 2. Tilk M. 6. Rauk K. 10. Lindemann R. 7. Pormeister K. 11. Matvejev T. 21. Toompuu M. 17. Riigov R. (C) 80. Taal J. 77. Roste R. 32. Anepaio A.
Substitutes
86. Aasma S. 97. Lipson R. (G) 39. Murulaid R. 66. Rak C. 8. Randalainen R. 72. Roos R. 57. Vassilenko K.
76. Altmets K. 19. Anepaio R. 27. Koort K. (G) 24. Sarapuu A. 22. Tiits A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Tilk M. ⚽,
43', Taal J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Esiliiga B (Relegation) and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide U21 won 3.
Paide U21 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tabasalu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tabasalu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paide U21 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.7:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Paide U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.5:2.3).