Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 34

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tabasalu		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.80	1.98
	3.45	4.10	1.72
	2.74	4.16	2.00
	2.95	4.28	1.92	Watch
	2.70	4.10	1.95
	2.94	4.05	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.45)	4.08 ↓ (4.1)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
30.7%

Draw
22.1%

Tartu Kalev
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

21.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Altmets K. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Karpenkov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, Roste R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Tabasalu (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Tartu Kalev have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tartu Kalev carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tabasalu has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:22 (averaging 2:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tabasalu against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:11 goals (averaging 2.7:3.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tartu Kalev	34	16	2	16	77:64	13	50
8	Tabasalu ✔	34	11	4	19	48:86	-38	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.10.26	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	0:0 ✺
14.10.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLT
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.10.26	Tartu Kalev - Jõhvi Phoenix	4:0 ✺
15.10.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Tartu Kalev - Levadia U19	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tartu Kalev	6:1 ✺
13.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.08.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	3:1
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1
21.03.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	4:0
23.10.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:9
09.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:1
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1
08.03.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:0

Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev