Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA)


	Tacoma Defiance		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.75
	2.38	3.5	2.73
	2.44	3.46	2.73	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.44	3.44	2.74	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	2.72 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
38.5%

Draw
27.5%

Oakland Roots
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Oakland Roots will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tacoma (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 4. Burney L. 39. Hawkins S. 38. Yamada K. 33. Baker C. 37. Brunell S. 45. Kingston P. 3. Sousa T. 32. Kang J. 95. De Rosario O. 90. Gomez S.	35. Spiegel R. (G) 26. Mohamed A. 15. Hackshaw N. 4. Margvelashvili G. 14. Rasmussen J. 6. Gomez D. 12. Gibson T. 88. Alekseev I. 45. Elmasnaouy A. 48. Saldana L. 22. Johnson E.
Substitutes
31. Diaw B. 40. Dodzi C. 30. Helleren L. (G) 83. Katsaros E. 48. Khoury J. 42. Pedder R. 34. Robles D.	3. Bravo J. 18. Byaruhanga B. 25. Damm J. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 7. Prentice W. 11. Sinisterra J. 9. Wilson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Kingston P. ⚽,
29', Brunell S. 🟨,
42', Kingston P. 🟨,
45', Baker C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Saldana L. 🟨,
57', Johnson E. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
57', Saldana L. ↓, Wilson P. ↑,
60', Burney L. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
64', Elmasnaouy A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
65', Gomez D. ↓, Byaruhanga B. ↑,
71', Sousa T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Hackshaw N. (Pen),
76', Wilson P. 🟨,
81', Kang J. ↓, Katsaros E. ↑,
83', Margvelashvili G. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
87', Katsaros E. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Gomez S. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
93', Gibson T. 🟨,
101', Alekseev I. ↓, Damm J. ↑,
108', 2 - 1, De Rosario O. ⚽, Khoury J. (A),
109', Brunell S. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Tacoma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oakland Roots is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tacoma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tacoma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
10.04.25	Los Angeles 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	5:3 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity	2:1 ET ✺
MLS Next Pro
14.03.25	Tacoma Defiance - The Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
12.04.25	Tulsa - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Oakland Roots - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Oakland Roots - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.10.21	Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots	0:0
15.09.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
28.08.21	Oakland Roots - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
08.08.21	Tacoma Defiance - Oakland Roots	3:1

Upcoming Matches