Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA)


	Tacoma Defiance		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.45	Watch
	2.33	3.7	2.65
	2.33	3.78	2.54	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	2.38	3.89	2.54	Watch
	2.33	3.7	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.64)	3.69 ↓ (4.13)	2.71 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
40.8%

Draw
25.1%

Spokane Velocity
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.4%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacoma Defiance's form might have worsened.

Spokane Velocity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spokane Velocity's recent form is better than expected.

Tacoma Defiance - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Castro J. (G) 33. Baker C. 38. Yamada K. 39. Hawkins S. 3. Sousa T. 45. Kingston P. 37. Brunell S. (C) 90. Gomez S. 36. Tsukanome Y. 32. Kang J. 95. De Rosario O.	1. Bilichuk R. (G) 2. Gil J. 5. Lage M. 12. Miller C. 15. Jome I. 8. Vinyals N. 42. Meredith B. 19. Denton J. 14. Hernandez M. 7. Akale M. 16. Pelaez A.
Substitutes
4. Burney L. 74. Carli E. 31. Diaw B. 44. Gaffney C. 30. Helleren L. (G) 48. Khoury J. 34. Robles D.	6. Fernandez C. 10. Gil L. 17. John-Brown S. 77. Lewis A. 23. Merancio C. (G) 18. Waldeck D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kang J. ⚽, De Rosario O. (A),
17', Hernandez M. 🟨,
30', Hawkins S. 🟨,
40', Meredith B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', De Rosario O. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
61', Miller C. 🟨,
62', Kang J. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
63', Meredith B. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
63', Denton J. ↓, Gil L. ↑,
77', Hernandez M. ↓, John-Brown S. ↑,
77', Akale M. ↓, Waldeck D. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Gil J. ⚽, Vinyals N. (A),
88', Vinyals N. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Baker C. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
91', Brunell S. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
92', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
99', 2 - 1, Lage M. (Own goal),
105', Lage M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
105', Gomez S. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,

Preview

Spokane could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tacoma is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
14.03.25	Tacoma Defiance - The Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.25	Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	North Texas - Tacoma Defiance	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	St. Louis City 2 - Tacoma Defiance	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
22.03.25	Spokane Velocity - Naples	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.25	Ballard - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ET ✺
USL League One
16.03.25	Spokane Velocity - One Knoxville	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTLW

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