Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro, SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Tacoma Defiance		Vancouver Whitecaps 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.60	3.70
	1.67	3.90	3.80
	1.74	3.97	4.16
	1.88	3.91	3.56	Watch
	1.59	4.05	4.60
	1.70	4.21	4.10	Watch
	1.77	3.70	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)	3.95 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
53.2%

Draw
23.5%

Vancouver Whitecaps 2
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

21.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacoma Defiance, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (G) 47. Alvarez D. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. (C) 84. Gaffney C. 34. Robles D. 32. Gnaulati X. 48. Phoenix C. 30. Carli E. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.	60. Rogers S. (G) 68. Tsuji Y. 53. Mathe I. 71. Badwal M. 48. Garnette M. 46. Bruletti C. (C) 62. Sewell R. 63. Selemani J. 61. Rassak C. 45. Zuluaga Y. 44. Ittycheria D.
Substitutes
80. Brown D. 99. Cisneros O. 72. Hassan O. 97. Kitafuji S. 2. Kolomiets V. 1. Miller B. 98. Montero F. 41. Shour M. (G) 3. Sugitani T.	72. Bejaoui A. 64. Brown T. 56. Campagna L. 70. Lodder T. 51. Podgorni K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Bronnik M. ⚽, Gaffney C. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Ittycheria D. ⚽, Zuluaga Y. (A),
23', Tsuji Y. 🟨,
33', Phoenix C. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Selemani J. ↓, Podgorni K. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Jauregui R. ⚽, Carli E. (A),
67', Phoenix C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Badwal M. (Own goal),
74', Sewell R. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
74', Gnaulati X. ↓, Cisneros O. ↑,
74', Jauregui R. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Rassak C. ⚽, Bruletti C. (A),
83', Cisneros O. 🟨,
85', Mathe I. 🟥,
90', Gaffney C. ↓, Sugitani T. ↑,
90+1', Carli E. ↓, Kitafuji S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tacoma could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
26.07.26	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance	2:4 ✺
12.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL
- Vancouver Whitecaps 2
MLS Next Pro
26.07.26	St. Louis City 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:2 penalties ✺
22.07.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Austin II	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Real Monarchs - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Colorado Rapids 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
17.05.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:2
12.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	2:1
04.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:3
14.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	5:0
06.04.25	Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	5:3
21.09.24	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:1
14.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:4

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