Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	3.40	2.80	2.10
	3.85	2.75	2.02
	3.67	2.94	2.18
	3.58	2.91	2.24	Watch
	3.55	2.90	2.14
	3.25	3.14	2.26
	3.45	2.75	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
25.9%

Draw
31.7%

Plaza Colonia
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

32.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Tacuarembó - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tacuarembó (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Plaza Colonia (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tacuarembó (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Plaza Colonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 10).

Tacuarembó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plaza Colonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacuarembó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Plaza Colonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.07.26	La Luz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWL
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Cerrito - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Paysandú - Plaza Colonia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.08.24	Plaza Colonia - Tacuarembó	1:0

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