Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Villa Alegre (Encarnación)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tacuary		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.5	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.47
	6	4	1.5	Watch
	6.78	4.18	1.49
	6.67	4.14	1.48	Watch
	7.5	4.33	1.35
	6.44	4.11	1.49	Watch
	6	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (5.56)	4.08 ↑ (3.78)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
14.5%

Draw
22.7%

Cerro Porteño
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

24.3%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

23.8%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tacuary - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 34. Arguello M. 5. Caceres M. (C) 24. Samudio M. 4. Victor Ferraz 21. Romero L. 3. Jean Mangabeira 20. Riveros L. 11. Brizuela F. 26. Fernandez D. 28. Berrio O.	13. Jean (G) 2. Benitez A. 24. Baez C. 15. Melgarejo R. 37. Leon D. 6. Carrascal R. 8. Carrizo F. (C) 26. Piris R. 11. Iturbe J. 9. Da Costa F. 22. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
12. Bareiro A. (G) 33. Caceres L. 7. Camacho N. 13. Espinoza P. 15. Juan Gauto 25. Lezcano D. 27. Medina G. 36. Nunez M. 6. Paredes M. 14. Pedrozo R. 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J.	17. Aguayo G. 35. De Jesus R. 19. Diego Churin 4. Eduardo Brock 28. Farina A. 40. Fernandez F. 38. Marecos T. 1. Martin A. (G) 5. Morel J. 30. Nunez A. 36. Olmedo L. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Palau M.	Jimenez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Piris R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Paredes M. ↑,
53', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
63', Piris R. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
63', Carrascal R. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,
71', Berrio O. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
81', Jean Mangabeira ↓, Lezcano D. ↑,
81', Samudio M. ↓, Pedrozo R. ↑,
83', Melgarejo R. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
86', Viera W. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Riveros L. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1.

Recent matches Tacuary is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro Porteño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cerro Porteño have a series of home games.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.24	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Tacuary - 2 de Mayo	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWTLT
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
08.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	4:0 ✺
01.08.24	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
25.05.24	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:3
09.03.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	0:1
12.11.23	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:1
02.09.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	1:1
11.06.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	2:2
09.04.23	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:0
25.09.22	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	5:0

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