Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Vejar Diaz F. (Chi)


	Tacuary		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.14	3.1	3.65
	2.05	3.35	3.85
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.17	3.35	3.32	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.91)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.5 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
44.4%

Draw
28.9%

Oriente Petrolero
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tacuary - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Tacuary could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tacuary is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.04.23	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Tacuary	4:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.04.23	Guaireña - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.04.23	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Oriente Petrolero	5:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.04.23	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Oriente Petrolero - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLWL

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