The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacuary 24.3%
Draw 25.4%
Sportivo Trinidense 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
28.8%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
28.6%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tacuary's form might have worsened.
Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacuary, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tacuary will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Paredes A. (G) 3. Franco Almada J. M. 16. Bento Dominguez A. R. 34. Arguello M. (C) 8. Amarilla A. 9. Gamarra Arandi P. R. 27. Medina G. 28. Gimenez C. 36. Nunez M. 10. Colman O. 17. Morinigo N.
1. Quinonez W. (G) 23. Benitez C. (C) 5. Vera J. 4. Flores G. 20. Alonso W. 35. Diaz E. 13. Salcedo J. 6. Orzusa E. 24. Romero J. 10. Torres D. 33. Charpentier P.
Substitutes
7. Alcaraz Genes F. J. 35. Bedoya S. 33. Bento Dominguez A. T. 32. Burgos Velazquez G. 12. Cano Bordaberry A. R. 15. Duarte Ramirez D. M. 5. Pena Roa A. F. 2. Pinho Barrientos H. 19. Ramirez R. 14. Roman A.
30. Andrada B. 16. Arevalo R. 15. Davalos Valdez V. 9. Gimenez O. 27. Machuca M. 11. Maciel M. 32. Martinez C. 22. Quinonez R. 25. Rodas M. (G) 17. Roman J. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 3. Villalba D.
Coaches
Vera E.
Arrua J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Amarilla A. 🟨,
17', Salcedo J. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Vera J. ⚽, Alonso W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz E. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
46', Charpentier P. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
52', Gimenez C. 🟨,
57', Morinigo N. ↓, Bedoya S. ↑,
57', Gamarra Arandi P. R. ↓, Duarte Ramirez D. M. ↑,
76', Gimenez C. ↓, Burgos Velazquez G. ↑,
76', Medina G. ↓, Pinho Barrientos H. ↑,
80', Torres D. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
80', Orzusa E. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
83', Amarilla A. ↓, Alcaraz Genes F. J. ↑,
87', Romero J. ↓, Arevalo R. ↑,
90:00, 1 - 1, Arguello M. (Pen),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 3.
Tacuary is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sportivo Trinidense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Sportivo Trinidense is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).
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Paredes A. (G) 
Charpentier P. 
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