Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)


	Oriente Petrolero		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.3	1.75	Watch
	5.25	3.25	1.73
	5.8	3.35	1.68
	5.56	3.26	1.78
	5.5	3.2	1.65
	5.4	3.54	1.69	Watch
	5.4	3.3	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (7.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.88)	1.71 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
17%

Draw
28.2%

Estudiantes La Plata
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

23.8%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

26.5%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Oriente Petrolero - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Estudiantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estudiantes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.03.23	Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.23	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.03.23	Oriente Petrolero - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
19.03.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
03.03.23	Unión Santa Fe - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

Upcoming Matches