The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Libertad Asuncion 53%
Draw 26.6%
Tacuary 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
21.9%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
20.7%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tacuary's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tacuary, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tacuary will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 14. Cardozo L. 8. Merlini B. 5. Viera D. 17. Espinoza M. 18. Franco I. 27. Jacquet M. 16. Riveros C. 32. Fretes A. 36. Cardozo Lucena A. 24. Santa C. R.
12. Bareiro A. (G) 34. Arguello M. 33. Caceres L. 4. Victor Ferraz 24. Samudio M. 6. Paredes M. 3. Jean Mangabeira 17. Morinigo N. 11. Brizuela F. 7. Camacho N. 26. Fernandez D.
Substitutes
9. Aguilar G. 28. Fernandez M. 19. Lezcano R. 22. Martinez H. 2. Ramirez I. 37. Schabus M. 15. Villalba H. 34. Villalba P.
10. Colman O. 35. Corrales S. 15. Juan Gauto 23. Martinez L. 27. Medina G. 36. Nunez M. 14. Pedrozo R. 20. Riveros L. 21. Romero L. 1. Vagner (G) 19. Valdeci 9. Verdun J.
Coaches
Garnero D.
Palau M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Paredes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fretes A. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
64', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
72', Merlini B. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
72', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
73', Samudio M. ↓, Pedrozo R. ↑,
73', Camacho N. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
80', Victor Ferraz ↓, Romero L. ↑,
82', Romero L. 🟨,
83', Franco I. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
86', Morinigo N. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Villalba H. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2.
Recent matches Libertad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tacuary is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tacuary could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Libertad is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Libertad won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
Paraguay
World
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Silva M. (G) 
Cardozo L. 
Merlini B. 
Victor Ferraz 
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