Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tacuary		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.82
	4	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.26	3.46	1.91
	4.24	3.38	1.87	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	4.13	3.47	1.86	Watch
	4	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.62)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
22.8%

Draw
27.3%

Nacional Asuncion
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bareiro A. (G) 2. Fernandez A. 3. Jean Mangabeira 5. Caceres M. (C) 34. Arguello M. 6. Paredes M. 11. Brizuela F. 13. Espinoza P. 26. Fernandez D. 10. Colman O. 17. Morinigo N.	35. Peralta F. (G) 4. Alfaro J. L. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 5. Benitez G. 25. Rivas L. 20. Gomez A. 18. Quintana S. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. (C) 16. Jara F. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 7. Duarte D.
Substitutes
8. Amarilla A. 35. Bedoya S. 33. Caceres L. 7. Camacho N. 28. Gimenez C. 15. Juan Gauto 25. Lezcano D. 30. Paredes A. 14. Pedrozo R. 19. Ramirez R. 18. Servin J. 9. Verdun J.	6. Alfaro J. 9. Bailone I. 8. Bareiro S. 11. Caballero G. 26. Coronel M. 21. Franco F. 1. Galarza L. (G) 33. Gaona Lugo O. 13. Meza L. 32. Morel F. 14. Nunez C. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Vera E.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Colman O. 🟨,
16', Jara F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
54', Espinoza P. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Colman O. ⚽, Brizuela F. (A),
61', Duarte D. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
61', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
65', Fernandez D. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
66', Morinigo N. ↓, Lezcano D. ↑,
66', Brizuela F. ↓, Amarilla A. ↑,
68', Gomez A. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
81', Fernandez A. ↓, Pedrozo R. ↑,
84', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Bareiro S. ↑,
90+5', Bareiro A. 🟨,
90+6', Quintana S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1.

Tacuary is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacuary could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:22 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.11.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	3:1 ✺
04.11.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tacuary - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLTL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.24	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:2 ✺
04.11.24	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
30.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.10.24	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.09.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0
01.06.24	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	2:5
17.03.24	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1
30.09.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:3
17.07.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:1
03.06.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0
31.03.23	Tacuary - Nacional Asuncion	0:0

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