Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV


	Talleres de Córdoba		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4	6.25
	1.52	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.27	6.61
	1.52	4.28	6.61
	1.5	3.9	5.8	Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.38	Watch
	1.48	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	4.06 ↑ (3.55)	6.38 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talleres de Córdoba
62.2%

Draw
23.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

25.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talleres de Córdoba's performance.

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talleres de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	8.7%	4.3%

Talleres de Córdoba - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: Talleres de Córdoba will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Herrera G. (C) 29. Benavidez G. 4. Catalan M. 3. Suarez L. 16. Navarro M. 20. Botta R. 30. Ortegoza U. 26. Portillo M. 24. Sosa R. 9. Girotti F. 18. Ruiz Rodriguez R.	1. Burrai J. (G) 14. Rangel A. 32. Ramirez N. 3. Sosa L. 6. Chala A. 17. Gaibor F. 22. Souza de Almeida L. 13. Corozo J. 7. Preciado A. 11. Rojas J. 10. Diaz D. (C)
Substitutes
32. Barticciotto B. 7. Bou G. 10. Bustos N. 11. Depietri V. 8. Galarza M. 14. Martinez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 27. Portilla J. 28. Portillo J. 15. Riveros B. 31. Segovia I. 2. Vigo A.	23. Arroyo D. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 18. Fydriszewski F. 5. Jesus Trindade 2. Mario Pineida 12. Mendoza V. (G) 9. Obando A. 30. Oyola B. 21. Perlaza P. 20. Pinatares B. 4. Rodriguez C. 19. Suarez M.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Catalan M. ⚽, Portillo M. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Botta R. ⚽, Portillo M. (A),
35', Souza de Almeida L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Corozo J. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
49', Preciado A. 🟨,
56', Navarro M. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
63', Rojas J. 🟨,
67', Portillo M. ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
70', Gaibor F. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
75', Diaz D. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
77', Ruiz Rodriguez R. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
80', Girotti F. ↓, Barticciotto B. ↑,
80', Sosa R. ↓, Bou G. ↑,
87', Oyola B. 🟨,
90+1', Rangel A. ↓, Perlaza P. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Bou G. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Talleres de Córdoba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Talleres de Córdoba is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talleres de Córdoba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talleres de Córdoba
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Cobresal - Talleres de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.04.24	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTW
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:3 ✺
01.05.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2

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