The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tambov 25.1%
Draw 29%
Sochi 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
29%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
22%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tambov's form might have worsened.
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sochi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.8%
13.8%
75.4%
Tambov - Sochi Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Tambov will win (votes: 7 - 10.8%). Sochi will win (votes: 49 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 64.9% – 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mordovia Arena.
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Tambov has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sochi has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Tambov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sochi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sochi will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tambov won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Tambov won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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