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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 73.9%
Draw 17.2%
Sochi 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
20.9%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
17.9%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-17%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Spartak Moscow - Sochi Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (C) 4. Duarte A. 6. Babic S. 68. Litvinov R. 7. Solari P. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Umyarov N. 5. Barco E. 14. Samoshnikov I. 11. Garcia L. 9. Ugalde M.
99. Dyupin Y. (G) 5. Aberdin N. 4. Litvinov V. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 82. Volkov S. 14. Kravtsov K. 6. Saavedra I. 25. Attiyat Allah Y. 10. Kramaric M. 8. Ignatov M. 20. Vasiljev D.
Substitutes
97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 88. Guziev E. 82. Khlusevich D. 24. Massalyga N. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 2. Reabciuk O. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 47. Zobnin R. 28. Zorin D.
15. Agbalaka S. 59. Bart R. 37. Chirkov M. 35. Degtev A. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 16. Mukhin M. 34. Osipov A. 1. Rudakov M. (G) 27. Zaika K.
Coaches
Stankovic D.
Moreno R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Barco E. (Pen),
42', 1 - 1, Vasiljev D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Samoshnikov I. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
46', Garcia L. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
64', Kravtsov K. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
64', Ignatov M. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
71', Babic S. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
74', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
80', Umyarov N. 🟨,
81', Attiyat Allah Y. 🟨,
85', Kramaric M. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
85', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
86', Zaika K. 🟨,
86', Volkov S. 🟨,
90+7', Litvinov V. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Barco E. (Pen),
90+9', Solari P. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3.
Spartak M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sochi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Spartak M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.
In this match, Spartak M is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
Belarus
Kosovo
Russia
Serbia
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Maksimenko A. (C) 
Duarte A. 
Babic S. 
Solari P. 
Fernandes G. 
Garcia L. 
Ugalde M. 
Aberdin N. 
Marcelo Alves (C) 
Saavedra I. 
Kramaric M. 
Reabciuk O. 
Agbalaka S. 
Moreno R. 
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