Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 29

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)

Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	ETV 2, Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Tammeka		Nõmme Kalju

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.50	1.82
	3.55	3.45	1.88
	3.56	3.73	1.9
	3.55	3.87	1.89	Watch
	3.4	3.65	1.86
	3.71	3.56	1.8	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (4.11)	3.62 ↓ (3.97)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka
25.8%

Draw
25.1%

Nõmme Kalju
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

23.4%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

20.3%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 17. Amijekori J. 3. Pedro Manoel 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 10. Uggeri G. 99. Hydara M. 22. Lang T. 7. Thomas Lisboa 23. Veelma P. 9. Sambe M. 79. Marin P.	69. Pavlov M. (G) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. 5. Korre U. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 8. Musolitin O. 26. Siht R. 10. Ivanov N. (C) 21. Baptista T. 27. Mannilaan M. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E.
Substitutes
89. Kauan Pereira 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 11. Muur R. 27. Ounpuu L. 24. Pedmanson H. 12. Sahtel K. (G) 29. Silov R. 4. Vaino M. 5. Vister M.	52. Idalecio 30. Jabir I. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G) 88. Sotsugov D. 20. Tambedou M.
Coaches
Voolaid K.	Andreev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Baptista T. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
10', Podholjuzin M. 🟨,
18', Andreev N. 🟨,
20', Kangaslahti O. 🟥,
37', 0 - 2, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Vukusic R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
61', Musolitin O. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
68', Uggeri G. ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,
68', Hydara M. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
71', Borolinstsikov A. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
71', Baptista T. ↓, Tambedou M. ↑,
77', Pedro Manoel ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Jabir I. ⚽,
81', Mannilaan M. ↓, Idalecio ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Sambe M. ⚽,
88', Veelma P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 1.

In recent outings, Tammeka has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nõmme Kalju has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nõmme Kalju could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Tammeka has faced a series of away games on the road.

Nõmme Kalju carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:39 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tammeka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kalju	29	15	5	9	52:27	25	50
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
17.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
12.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Estonian Cup
26.08.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
02.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	5:1
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2
08.03.26	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	0:1
02.11.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	2:1
03.08.25	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	1:3
10.05.25	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	0:1
16.03.25	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	2:2

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