Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 28

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)

Referee: Laane K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kuressaare		Tammeka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.25
	2.88	3.45	2.18
	2.68	3.52	2.47
	2.69	3.55	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.40
	2.62	3.56	2.46	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.89)	3.46 ↓ (3.57)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare
34.2%

Draw
26.6%

Tammeka
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

25.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Kuressaare - Tammeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 68. Vahermagi J. 77. Demidov E. 5. Sinilaid S. 9. Svedovski A. 8. Andreas D. 11. Jurisoo T. 13. Visse A.	12. Sahtel K. (G) 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 7. Thomas Lisboa 3. Pedro Manoel 23. Veelma P. 17. Amijekori J. 22. Lang T. 79. Marin P. 99. Hydara M. 29. Silov R. 9. Sambe M.
Substitutes
14. Kobin J. 3. Leedo K. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 27. Prunn S. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 80. Tarkmeel R.	89. Kauan Pereira 13. Laabus R. 26. Lapa K. (G) 11. Muur R. 27. Ounpuu L. 24. Pedmanson H. 10. Uggeri G. 4. Vaino M.
Coaches
Post S.	Voolaid K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Kangaslahti O. ⚽, Pedro Manoel (A),
19', 1 - 1, Demidov E. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Marin P. ⚽, Sambe M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Sambe M. 🟨,
57', Marin P. ↓, Uggeri G. ↑,
68', Lang T. ↓, Ounpuu L. ↑,
68', Hydara M. ↓, Kauan Pereira ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Silov R. ⚽,
72', Sinilaid S. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
79', Thomas Lisboa ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
79', Silov R. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
85', Visse A. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kuressaare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tammeka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
8	Kuressaare	29	8	5	16	31:49	-18	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWTLW
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
22.08.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0
08.05.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0
14.03.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	3:2
26.09.25	Tammeka - Kuressaare	0:1
11.07.25	Kuressaare - Tammeka	0:2
17.06.25	Kuressaare - Tammeka	2:3
22.04.25	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0

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