Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.67	3.9	3.95
	1.67	3.6	4.1
	1.71	4.03	4.29
	1.7	3.82	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	4.05 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
53.6%

Draw
23.9%

San Diego Loyal
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (14.94%), has project points - 56, has currently - 16, has a good chance of playoffs (81%), has a chance of qtrs (45%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Tampa Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampa Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
27.04.22	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
20.04.22	Orlando City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
16.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Tulsa	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- San Diego Loyal
US Open Cup
19.04.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
16.04.22	San Diego Loyal - Louisville City	2:5 ✺
13.04.22	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	San Diego Loyal - Charleston Battery	4:1 ✺
US Open Cup
06.04.22	Albion San Diego - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTWW

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