Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)


	Oakland Roots		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.18	3.57	3.07
	2.14	3.52	2.99	Watch
	2.14	3.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
42.1%

Draw
26.4%

San Diego Loyal
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Blanchette P. (G) 30. Tamacas B. 21. Klimenta E. 13. Hackshaw N. 14. Barbir D. 23. Diaz M. 72. Rito E. 4. Nane J. (C) 15. Gomez D. 10. Mfeka L. 17. Rodriguez J.	60. Ferree D. (G) 3. Martin E. 7. Bodily B. 32. Adams K. 16. Kasanzu J. 17. Martin C. 10. Guido A. (C) 20. Moon N. 11. Moshobane T. 18. Collier E. 9. Conway E.
Substitutes
47. Bailey T. (G) 9. Formella D. 16. Her R. 7. Matsoso N. 6. Morad T. 18. Pelaez A. 11. Reid T.	15. Corona J. 8. Damus R. 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M. 14. Perez A. 13. Riley C. 22. Solorio A.
Coaches
Delgado N.	MIller N.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Oakland Roots has the most likely position - 8 (12.87%), project points - 48, currently - 14, a good chance of playoffs (74%), a chance of qtrs (32%), a small chance of semis (14%), a small chance of final (6%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (15.68%), project points - 56, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (93%), a good chance of qtrs (52%), a chance of semis (26%), a small chance of final (13%), a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has small quality 21, small importance 14, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Oakland Roots won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
20.05.23	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	Birmingham Legion - Oakland Roots	1:4 ✺
29.04.23	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWTL
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
20.05.23	Miami - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
13.05.23	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Orange County SC - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	San Diego Loyal - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Seattle Sounders - San Diego Loyal	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.10.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	0:3
24.08.22	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	1:3
13.04.22	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:2
24.10.21	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	3:4
22.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	2:1
11.09.21	Oakland Roots - San Diego Loyal	0:0
29.06.21	San Diego Loyal - Oakland Roots	1:0

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