Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Tamworth		Leamington

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.22	3.35	2.75
	2.2	3.34	3.15
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.1	3.55	3.2
	2.24	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.85)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.94 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
41.5%

Draw
27.5%

Leamington
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Tamworth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Leamington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tamworth have a series of guest games.

Tamworth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
10.12.22	Ilkeston - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
06.12.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Tamworth	1:3 ✺
03.12.22	Tamworth - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
26.11.22	Nuneaton Town - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTT
- Leamington
English National League North
06.12.22	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Boston United - Leamington	3:0 ✺
26.11.22	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Leamington - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
English National League North
12.11.22	Chester - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.12.17	Tamworth - Leamington	0:3
08.08.17	Leamington - Tamworth	1:2
11.04.15	Tamworth - Leamington	3:2
17.01.15	Leamington - Tamworth	1:2

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