Match Info

National League - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Southend United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.7
	4.05	3.8	1.75
	3.59	3.97	1.91
	3.86	4.08	1.77	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.8
	3.99	3.6	1.75
	4	3.8	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.15)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
23.5%

Draw
24.6%

Southend United
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

25.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Tamworth - Southend United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Southend (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 26. Hollis H. 2. Curley M. 6. Bates A. 4. Tonks T. 42. Kurtaran T. 12. Rye J. 31. Maher R. 27. Lynch O. 39. Creaney D.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 16. Taylor H. 6. Goodliffe B. 3. Ralph N. (C) 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 23. Morton 28. Coker O. 10. Austin S. 33. Boyes H. 11. Walker J. 21. Cardwell H.
Substitutes
5. Digie K. 15. Donkor K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 14. Mols S. 13. Rachel D. (G) 20. Roberts T.	7. Bridge J. 15. Gubbins J. 1. Hayes N. (G) 14. Hopper T. 24. Kendall C. 17. Miley C. 18. Spasov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Cullinane-Liburd J. ⚽,
27', Walker J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Coker O. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
68', 2 - 1, Maher R. ⚽,
77', Tonks T. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
77', Creaney D. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
77', Walker J. ↓, Spasov S. ↑,
84', Coker O. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
84', Cardwell H. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
89', Rye J. ↓, Digie K. ↑,
89', Maher R. ↓, Donkor K. ↑,
90+3', Morton ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
90+6', Mols S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Southend will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League Cup
16.12.25	Tamworth - Manchester United U21	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Tamworth - Blackburn Rovers U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW
- Southend United
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southend United - Truro City	4:0 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Southend United - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Yeovil Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0
22.02.25	Tamworth - Southend United	1:1
26.10.24	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0

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