Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Southend United		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.22	3.5	2.88
	2.27	3.78	2.9
	2.32	3.46	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.32	2.83	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southend United
41.1%

Draw
26.4%

Carlisle United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Southend United - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 3. Ralph N. (C) 6. Goodliffe B. 16. Taylor H. 33. Boyes H. 10. Austin S. 17. Miley C. 28. Coker O. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 11. Walker J. 9. Dallas A.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Lafayette R. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 11. Luamba J. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G. 38. Conn-Clarke C.
Substitutes
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 22. Appiah-Forson K. 7. Bridge J. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 15. Gubbins J. 14. Hopper T. 23. Morton	7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Conn-Clarke C. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
26', Luamba J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
29', 0 - 2, Linney R. ⚽, Conn-Clarke C. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Austin S. ⚽, Ralph N. (A),
33', Dallas A. 🟨,
36', Williams J. 🟨,
45+7', Davies A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Davies A. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
63', Austin S. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
78', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
79', Walker J. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
79', Coker O. ↓, Chambers-Parillon L. ↑,
90+4', Linney R. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
90+4', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
90+4', Ellis J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Southend is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carlisle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Southend will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Carlisle United - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
05.11.25	Woking - Southend United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wealdstone - Southend United	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Southend United - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southend United - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.04.21	Southend United - Carlisle United	0:2
19.09.20	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:0
28.02.15	Southend United - Carlisle United	2:0
23.08.14	Carlisle United - Southend United	1:1

Upcoming Matches