Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	DAZN
Argentina	14:30	DAZN
Australia	04:30	DAZN
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Belarus	20:30	DAZN
Bolivia	13:30	DAZN
Brazil	14:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	19:30	DAZN
Canada	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	12:30	DAZN
Croatia	18:30	DAZN
Cyprus	19:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	18:30	DAZN
Denmark	18:30	DAZN
Ecuador	12:30	DAZN
Finland	19:30	DAZN
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	DAZN
Hong Kong	01:30	DAZN
Hungary	18:30	DAZN
India	23:00	DAZN
Indonesia	00:30	DAZN
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:30	DAZN
Latvia	19:30	DAZN
Lithuania	19:30	DAZN
Malaysia	01:30	DAZN
Mexico	11:30	DAZN
New Zealand	06:30	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:30	DAZN
North Macedonia	18:30	DAZN
Norway	18:30	DAZN
Paraguay	14:30	DAZN
Philippines	01:30	DAZN
Poland	18:30	DAZN
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	DAZN
Russia	20:30	DAZN
Serbia	18:30	DAZN
Slovenia	18:30	DAZN
South Africa	19:30	DAZN
South Korea	02:30	DAZN
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	DAZN
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	01:30	DAZN
Thailand	00:30	DAZN
Ukraine	19:30	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	21:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	14:30	DAZN
Usa	12:30	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	22:30	DAZN
Venezuela	13:30	DAZN
Vietnam	00:30	DAZN


	Southend United		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.22	3.5	2.88
	2.27	3.78	2.9
	2.32	3.46	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.32	2.83	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.84 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
41.1%

Draw
26.4%

Carlisle United
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Southend United - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 3. Ralph N. (C) 6. Goodliffe B. 16. Taylor H. 33. Boyes H. 10. Austin S. 17. Miley C. 28. Coker O. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 11. Walker J. 9. Dallas A.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Lafayette R. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 11. Luamba J. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G. 38. Conn-Clarke C.
Substitutes
30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 22. Appiah-Forson K. 7. Bridge J. 19. Chambers-Parillon L. 15. Gubbins J. 14. Hopper T. 23. Morton	7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Conn-Clarke C. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
26', Luamba J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
29', 0 - 2, Linney R. ⚽, Conn-Clarke C. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Austin S. ⚽, Ralph N. (A),
33', Dallas A. 🟨,
36', Williams J. 🟨,
45+7', Davies A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Davies A. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
63', Austin S. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
78', Boyes H. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
79', Walker J. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
79', Coker O. ↓, Chambers-Parillon L. ↑,
90+4', Linney R. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
90+4', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
90+4', Ellis J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Southend is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carlisle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Southend will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Carlisle United - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
05.11.25	Woking - Southend United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wealdstone - Southend United	1:0 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Southend United - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Morecambe - Southend United	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southend United - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.04.21	Southend United - Carlisle United	0:2
19.09.20	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:0
28.02.15	Southend United - Carlisle United	2:0
23.08.14	Carlisle United - Southend United	1:1

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