Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tamworth		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.5	4.22	6.15
	1.51	4.22	6.15
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.46	4.25	6.2
	1.47	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	4.13 ↑ (4)	5.92 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
62.3%

Draw
22.2%

Southport
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

22.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tamworth - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Tamworth is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
09.12.23	Chester - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Tamworth - King`s Lynn Town	3:1 ✺
21.11.23	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Billericay Town - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Bishops Stortford - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Southport
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chesterfield - Southport	6:1 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Buxton - Southport	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Southport	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Southport - South Shields	4:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Southport - Farsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.09.23	Southport - Tamworth	0:0
10.03.18	Southport - Tamworth	3:0
02.12.17	Tamworth - Southport	3:3
English FA Cup
28.10.14	Southport - Tamworth	2:1 penalties
25.10.14	Tamworth - Southport	1:1
English National League
12.04.14	Southport - Tamworth	2:0
07.09.13	Tamworth - Southport	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
31.10.26	Tamworth - Woking	✺
- Southport
English National League North
31.10.26	Southport - AFC Telford United	✺

Tamworth - Southport