Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Tapachula Soconusco		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	4.49	4.22	1.59	Watch
	4.36	4.25	1.57	Watch
	3.8	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4.11)	4.16 ↓ (4.26)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapachula Soconusco
21.4%

Draw
21.7%

Deportiva Venados
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.5%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapachula Soconusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tapachula Soconusco - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
14', 1 - 2, ⚽,
32', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Tapachula may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportiva Venados is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tapachula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tapachula Soconusco
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.01.26	Neza - Tapachula Soconusco	1:4 ✺
15.11.25	Tapachula Soconusco - Cañoneros Marina	6:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Montañeses - Tapachula Soconusco	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Héroes de Zaci - Tapachula Soconusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.11.25	Neza - Deportiva Venados	1:5 ✺
15.11.25	Deportiva Venados - Dragones Toluca	8:1 ✺
07.11.25	Cañoneros Marina - Deportiva Venados	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	2:3 penalties ✺
20.10.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
30.08.25	Deportiva Venados - Tapachula Soconusco	3:1
21.09.24	Deportiva Venados - Tapachula Soconusco	2:1

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