Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tapatío		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.50	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.63	3.36	2.69
	2.24	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.50	3.10
	2.69	3.18	2.61	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.22)	3.28 ↓ (3.31)	2.74 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tapatío
37.7%

Draw
28.3%

Jaiba Brava
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Tapatío - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Garcia E. (G) 42. Delgadillo D. (C) 43. Parra R. 55. Esparza S. 48. Jimenez L. 50. Medina C. 64. Latorre D. 60. Ledesma L. 182. Calderon L. 57. Hernandez J. 54. Nuno R.	13. Ruiz G. (C) 3. Pena R. 6. Lopez Gonzalez J. 26. Manzanarez O. 2. Bocco L. 16. Martinez J. 20. Tovar J. 8. Gonzalez R. 11. Cruz C. 9. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 10. Torres E.
Substitutes
199. Ben Rhouma A. 65. Corona C. 215. Gallardo J. 47. Garcia G. 61. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 195. Rosales D. 53. Soldati C. 70. Torres Hurtado L. 69. Villaseca D.	22. Arriaga N. 27. Escalante E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 19. Lopez D. 21. Lopez F. 33. Martinez S. 177. Mendez O. 17. Ramirez I. 4. Rios A.
Coaches
Melendez J.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽, Esparza S. (A),
44', Nuno R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Torres E. 🟨,
58', Esparza S. 🟨,
60', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
61', Medina C. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
61', Hernandez J. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
67', Lopez Gonzalez J. ↓, Mendez O. ↑,
67', Cruz C. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
77', Esparza S. ↓, Soldati C. ↑,
77', Calderon L. ↓, Torres Hurtado L. ↑,
81', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
82', Gonzalez R. ↓, Lopez Gonzalez J. ↑,
90', Martinez J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
90', Tovar J. ↓, Escalante E. ↑,
90', Latorre D. ↓, Corona C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.

Tapatío might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tapatio	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14
13	Jaiba Brava	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Tapatío - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.07.26	Tapatío - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Cancún - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
23.04.26	Tapatío - Cancún	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dorados - Tapatío	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tapatío - Irapuato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Piratas de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Club América	0:2 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.05.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:3 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.02.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	3:1
06.09.25	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	2:1
25.01.25	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	1:0
09.08.24	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	2:0
30.01.22	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	2:1
24.08.21	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	1:1
18.02.21	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0

Upcoming Matches