Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Tarancón		Conquense

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.8	2.1
	3.75	2.9	2.05
	3.82	2.88	2.02
	3.82	2.88	2.02
	3.74	3.04	1.98
	3.75	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.82)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarancón
24.4%

Draw
31%

Conquense
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarancón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tarancón won 2.

Recent matches Tarancón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Conquense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Conquense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tarancón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tarancón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
03.12.23	Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Tarancón - Cazalegas	2:4 ✺
18.11.23	Villarrubia - Tarancón	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Tarancón - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Azuqueca - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLTWW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
03.12.23	Conquense - Torrijos	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Conquense	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Conquense - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	La Solana - Conquense	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Conquense - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.04.23	Tarancón - Conquense	0:2
08.01.23	Conquense - Tarancón	1:2
13.03.22	Conquense - Tarancón	1:0
13.11.21	Tarancón - Conquense	2:0
10.02.21	Conquense - Tarancón	1:1
26.01.20	Conquense - Tarancón	3:0
06.09.19	Tarancón - Conquense	1:2

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