The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Taranto 28.7%
Draw 31.5%
Crotone 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
29.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
30.4%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taranto's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taranto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
50%
40%
Taranto - Crotone Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Taranto will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Crotone will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (C) 4. de Santis I. F. 5. Antonini Lui M. 6. Riggio C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 23. Calvano S. 7. Romano A. 29. Zonta L. 17. Panico C. 77. Kanoute M. 10. Cianci P.
1. Dini A. (G) 21. Leo D. 18. Loiacono G. 6. Gigliotti G. (C) 3. Giron M. 28. Vitale M. 10. Petriccione J. 19. Tribuzzi A. 27. D'Errico A. 7. D'Ursi E. 9. Gomez G.
Substitutes
14. Bifulco A. 70. Capone F. 12. Di Serio A. (G) 15. Enrici P. 3. Ferrara A. 28. Fiorani M. 19. Heinz J. 20. Hysaj D. 18. Kondaj E. 1. Loliva A. (G) 27. Papaserio G.
5. Bove D. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cantisani R. 14. Crialese C. 22. D'Alterio F. (G) 8. Felippe Martello L. 24. Giannotti P. 23. Jurcec J. 12. Lucano A. (G) 15. Negro Di Stefano V. 77. Pannitteri O. 20. Rojas L. 36. Spaltro R. 93. Tumminello M. 30. Vuthaj D.
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Taranto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Crotone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crotone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Taranto have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Taranto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.