Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	DAZN App
Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Benevento		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.65	5.15
	1.55	3.93	5.29	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.57	3.52	5.54	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	5.3 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
57.9%

Draw
24.9%

Crotone
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

25.2%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	8%	4%

Benevento - Crotone Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Benevento (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benevento will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benevento will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 10. Manconi J. 18. Simonetti P. 93. Tumminello M.	1. Merelli D. (G) 72. Cocetta N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 5. Cargnelutti R. 25. Guerra W. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 33. Perlingieri M. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G.
Substitutes
19. Borghini D. 29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 28. Del Gaudio M. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 21. Giugliano 5. Giugliano M. 24. Kwete M. 32. Mignani G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 9. Salvemini F. 38. Talia A. 6. Viscardi A.	80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 16. Gallo A. 23. Groppelli F. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 11. Murano J. 76. Paciotti G. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 10. Ricci F. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
37', Sandri M. 🟨,
45', Vinicius 🟨,
45+3', Sandri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Perlingieri M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
67', Maggio M. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
67', Gomez G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
71', Simonetti P. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
71', Prisco A. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
71', Tumminello M. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽,
78', Manconi J. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
78', Pierozzi E. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
85', Ceresoli A. 🟨,
90', Merelli D. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Carfora L. ⚽,
90+9', Cocetta N. ↓, Bruno K. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 2.

Benevento is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crotone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Benevento is a strong favorite.

We predict that Benevento will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Benevento	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Benevento - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cavese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
01.12.25	Benevento - Salernitana	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Crotone - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.08.25	Crotone - Benevento	1:2
12.03.25	Benevento - Crotone	1:1
31.10.24	Crotone - Benevento	2:2
12.02.24	Crotone - Benevento	0:0
01.10.23	Benevento - Crotone	3:2
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Benevento - Crotone	3:1
28.10.21	Crotone - Benevento	0:2

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