Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone (Taranto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Taranto		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.87	2.35
	3.2	2.95	2.35
	3.24	2.92	2.42
	3.19	2.95	2.42	Watch
	3	2.88	2.38
	3.05	2.91	2.34
	3.2	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.79)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	2.37 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
29.7%

Draw
31.5%

Sorrento
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Taranto - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Favero M. (G) 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. 3. Contessa S. 72. Mastromonaco G. 38. Ardizzone F. 21. Matera A. 7. Lores I. 14. Verde F. 32. Giovinco G. 11. Zigoni G.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 33. Vitiello A. 9. Blondett E. 6. Fusco F. 14. Panico C. 8. Cuccurullo M. 76. Lops F. 23. Cangianiello S. 7. Guadagni G. 11. Musso A. 10. Bolsius D.
Substitutes
10. Fabbro M. 8. Fiorani M. 27. Garau O. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 34. Locanto G. 5. Marong B. 94. Meli G. (G) 44. Picardi M. 17. Sacco F. 18. Schirru G. 99. Simone G. 24. Speranza M. 33. Vaughn C. 77. Zerbo P.	97. Albertazzi M. (G) 66. Cadili A. 5. Carotenuto G. 32. Colangiuli V. 3. Colombini L. 15. De Francesco A. 96. Esposito D. 12. Harrasser S. 49. Ilardi F. 72. Palella A. 18. Polidori A. 17. Riccardi P. 16. Scala S. 2. Todisco G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Zigoni G. ⚽,
12', Lores I. 🟨,
22', Musso A. 🟨,
24', Zigoni G. 🟨,
27', Verde F. 🟨,
37', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
40', Giovinco G. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
42', Contessa S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Musso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lops F. ↓, De Francesco A. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Bolsius D. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Zigoni G. ⚽,
58', Ardizzone F. 🟨,
63', Vitiello A. 🟨,
63', Lores I. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
64', Panico C. ↓, Todisco G. ↑,
64', Cuccurullo M. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
69', de Santis I. 🟨,
70', Ardizzone F. ↓, Schirru G. ↑,
80', Bolsius D. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
82', Zigoni G. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', Matera A. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', De Francesco A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 2.

Taranto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sorrento is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Taranto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Taranto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.24	Casertana - Taranto	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Taranto - Altamura	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Taranto - Trapani	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	ACR Messina - Taranto	4:1 ✺
30.08.24	Taranto - Latina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
25.09.24	Crotone - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Sorrento - Turris	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Potenza - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sorrento - Altamura	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Monopoli - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.03.24	Taranto - Sorrento	0:0
12.11.23	Sorrento - Taranto	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.21	Sorrento - Taranto	0:3
18.10.20	Taranto - Sorrento	1:2
02.02.20	Sorrento - Taranto	0:2
29.09.19	Taranto - Sorrento	0:1
23.12.18	Taranto - Sorrento	3:0

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