Match Info

First League - Round 17

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Central Stadium (Taraz)


	Taraz		Turkistan

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.45	6.3
	1.47	4.15	6.07	Watch
	1.37	4.55	6.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	4.38 ↓ (4.48)	6.35 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
64.8%

Draw
20.8%

Turkistan
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

20.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

14.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taraz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turkistan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turkistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taraz - Turkistan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Samoylov S. (G) 11. Adil O. 23. Erden A. 31. Kemelbek S. 6. Lesbek D. 17. Mukanbetzhanov A. 4. Nuraly M. (C) 21. Toybekov E. 12. Umirzakov Z. 33. Zhaksylykov Z. 8. Zhumat M.	16. Barlyk B. (G) 91. Baydulla M. 8. Isaev S. 70. Khakimov I. 33. Kuatbekuly K. 21. Nurmakhanov D. 2. Omirbek B. 11. Sabirzhanov K. (C) 20. Saydulla N. 87. Umarov I. 17. Zhaksylyk E.
Substitutes
71. Andyrmash D. 20. Askerbek N. 47. Derzap D. 9. Khaytmuratov U. 74. Mergenbaev M. (G) 82. Omey A. 1. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 22. Zhaksymbetov M. 7. Zhambyl M. 3. Zhanybekuly E.	28. Almakhan M. 14. Murat B. 22. Seydakhmet A. (G) 45. Seydakhmet S. 44. Taubay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Lesbek D. ⚽, Nuraly M. (A),
20', Umarov I. 🟨,
20', Kemelbek S. 🟨,
32', Lesbek D. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Zhumat M. ⚽, Erden A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Zhumat M. ⚽,
63', Zhumat M. ↓, Andyrmash D. ↑,
63', Kemelbek S. ↓, Zhambyl M. ↑,
67', Khakimov I. 🟨,
69', Adil O. ↓, Zhaksymbetov M. ↑,
73', Sabirzhanov K. ↓, Taubay I. ↑,
78', Zhaksylyk E. ↓, Almakhan M. ↑,
80', Erden A. ↓, Omey A. ↑,
80', Toybekov E. ↓, Askerbek N. ↑,
82', Kuatbekuly K. 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Mukanbetzhanov A. ⚽,
88', 5 - 0, Andyrmash D. ⚽,
90+1', 6 - 0, Zhambyl M. ⚽, Askerbek N. (A),
90+2', Barlyk B. ↓, Seydakhmet A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Taraz is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 4.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Taraz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
01.08.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Taraz	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Altai Semey - Taraz	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	AKAS - Taraz	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLTLW
- FC Turkistan
Kazakh First League
01.08.25	Turkistan - Akademiya Ontustik	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Zhetisay - Turkistan	3:1 ✺
17.07.25	Turkistan - AKAS	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	6:1 ✺
03.07.25	Turkistan - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.10.24	Taraz - Turkistan	5:1
Kazakh Cup
18.03.24	Turkistan - Taraz	0:3
Kazakh First League
13.04.23	Turkistan - Taraz	0:5

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