Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Taraz

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.1	12.5
	1.18	6.37	11.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.15)	6.24 ↑ (6.1)	11.79 ↓ (12.5)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
77.8%

Draw
14.5%

Taraz
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

14.7%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Pasechenko A. (C) 10. Baytana B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 47. Konlimkos B. 22. Kurbanov T. 28. Oralbay E. 8. Raskatov V. 14. Serikbay A. 13. Serikbay M. 5. Taipov K. 19. Taykenov M.	27. Samoylov S. (G) 30. Amirkhanov M. (C) 23. Erden A. 31. Kemelbek S. 5. Keulimzhay E. 6. Lesbek D. 4. Nuraly M. 21. Toybekov E. 12. Umirzakov Z. 33. Zhaksylykov Z. 8. Zhumat M.
Substitutes
70. Abdulla N. 21. Aripov D. 9. Armenov A. 2. Aslan R. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 7. Kabylan B. 23. Kozhamberdy Z. 66. Kuantay A. 18. Kulakhmetov S. 12. Mukhanov O. (G) 6. Shakhmetov M. 48. Zhumabay E.	11. Adil O. 71. Andyrmash D. 20. Askerbek N. 17. Mukanbetzhanov A. 82. Omey A. 1. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 77. Suley A. 22. Zhaksymbetov M. 7. Zhambyl M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Amirkhanov M. ↓, Zhaksymbetov M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Zhumat M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Zhaksylykov Z. (Own goal),
60', Oralbay E. ↓, Armenov A. ↑,
60', Baytana B. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
61', Raskatov V. ↓, Kozhamberdy Z. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Taipov K. ⚽,
64', Zhumat M. ↓, Adil O. ↑,
64', Toybekov E. ↓, Suley A. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Nuraly M. ⚽,
76', Serikbay M. ↓, Aslan R. ↑,
83', Keulimzhay E. ↓, Mukanbetzhanov A. ↑,
88', Kemelbek S. ↓, Zhambyl M. ↑,
90', Konlimkos B. ↓, Aripov D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 3.

Kaspiy Aktau is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Taraz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kaspiy Aktau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kaspiy Aktau is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy Aktau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
24.07.25	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau	1:6 ✺
18.07.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetisay	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:3 ✺
26.06.25	Aktobe 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3 ✺
20.06.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Batyr Ekibastuz	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWW
- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
25.07.25	Altai Semey - Taraz	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	AKAS - Taraz	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0 ✺
26.06.25	Kairat 2 - Taraz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
12.09.24	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2
20.06.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Taraz	3:0
Kazakh Premier League
24.10.22	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1
22.05.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Taraz	2:1
04.07.21	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
23.04.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Taraz	1:0
24.11.20	Taraz - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1

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