Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.3
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.25	3.05	2.26
	2.96	3.18	2.3	Watch
	3.09	3.1	2.29
	3.25	3.05	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.65)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2.24 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
28.6%

Draw
30.4%

Athletic Bilbao B
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarazona's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tarazona - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 17. Lopez A. 5. Murria V. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 23. Rico M. 10. Mena P. 19. Fuentes A. 21. Pradera M.	25. Santos M. (G) 28. Monreal I. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 3. De Luis J. 24. Louis-Jean J. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 7. Varela I. 10. Sanchez I. 16. Lete E. 9. Sanz I.
Substitutes
20. Aguero 18. Alvarez M. 14. Buyla J. 12. Cedeno E. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 11. Rivas L. 15. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero B.	19. Azkune E. 21. Bujan E. 12. Elias J. 35. Garcia B. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 23. Hierro A. 37. Zarandona T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Martinez Chechu 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
72', Murria V. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Tarazona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tarazona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Athletic Bilbao B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.25	Sestao - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Barcelona B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Lugo - Tarazona	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTWT
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
26.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Tarazona	1:1

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