Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Athletic Bilbao B		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.28	5.2	9.4
	1.27	5.31	11.88
	1.26	5.13	9.88	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9.55
	1.28	5.2	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.52)	5.1 ↑ (3.74)	9.37 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
72%

Draw
18.1%

Gimnástica Segoviana
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

23.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gastesi O. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 14. Izaguirre A. 3. De Luis J. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 11. Olabarrieta A. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Varela I. 9. Sanz I.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 18. Cespedes M. 7. Berlanga M. 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 8. Diaz H. 10. Borrego J. 19. Farrell J.
Substitutes
19. Azkune E. 15. Bita J. 21. Bujan E. 4. Dunabeitia A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 12. Elias J. 35. Garcia B. 23. Hierro A. 16. Lete E. 31. Oyono I. 25. Santos M. (G)	11. Astray P. 23. Ferreiroa F. 9. Gomez D. 4. Lopez D. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 6. Olmedilla M. 33. Postigo A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Gastesi O. 🟥,
16', Varela I. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
24', Borrego J. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,
37', Pascual A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Farrell J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Olabarrieta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Ebro Cortina E. ↑,
46', De Luis J. ↓, Dunabeitia A. ↑,
63', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Diaz H. ⚽,
75', Diaz H. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
75', Berlanga M. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
75', Farrell J. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
76', Rego A. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
80', Molina S. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
84', Lopez D. 🟨,
88', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Athletic Bilbao B in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

G Segoviana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Athletic Bilbao B to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
26.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	1:5 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.02.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWTWW
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
08.02.25	Barcelona B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.09.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1

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