Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33
	1.9	3.05	3.85
	1.93	3.17	4.33
	1.88	3.17	4.17	Watch
	1.87	3.24	4.18
	1.9	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.2)	3.11 ↑ (3)	4.12 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
48.5%

Draw
29.3%

Osasuna B
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarazona's performance.

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarazona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarazona - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 17. Lopez A. 15. Rodriguez J. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 22. Llacer L. 8. Romero B. 10. Mena P. 12. Cedeno E. 19. Fuentes A. 21. Pradera M.	1. Stamatakis D. (G) 22. Arguibide I. 18. Espejo D. 24. Sierra I. 2. Moreno D. 4. Garriz I. 7. Lumbreras C. 14. Huarte X. 8. Osambela A. 21. Garcia J. 16. Ogbuehi S.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 7. Areso J. 14. Buyla J. 3. Martinez Chechu 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 23. Rico M. 11. Rivas L.	20. Arroyo R. 6. Echegoyen M. 23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 5. Mutilva C. 12. Pedroarena M. 9. Sancho D. 15. Santos U. 31. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Llacer L. ⚽,
34', Mena P. 🟨,
37', Moreno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romero B. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
50', Garriz I. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
59', Garriz I. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
59', Huarte X. ↓, Echegoyen M. ↑,
59', Lumbreras C. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
64', Arguibide I. 🟨,
67', Mena P. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
67', Llacer L. ↓, Martinez Chechu ↑,
69', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Sancho D. ↑,
76', Moreno D. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
77', Pradera M. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Osasuna B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tarazona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarazona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Arenteiro - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Tarazona - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Tarazona - Zamora	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Amorebieta - Tarazona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWT
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
09.02.25	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Lugo - Osasuna B	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Osasuna B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3
21.01.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	1:1
14.10.23	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.01.21	Osasuna B - Tarazona	3:1
15.11.20	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:0

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