Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Tarazona		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.83
	4	3	1.85
	4.2	3.2	1.9
	4.65	3.13	1.96
	4.65	3.13	1.89
	2.6	3.1	2.3
	4.55	3.2	1.82
	4.1	3.15	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (2.6)	3.15 ↑ (2.88)	1.93 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
22.5%

Draw
29.4%

Deportivo A Coruña
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarazona's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tarazona - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ramirez Y. (G) 2. Borja 4. Trilles M. 16. Amoah I. 3. Cocca M. 10. Cano F. 5. Keita B. 22. Carlos J. 15. Gil A. 21. Guiu A. 11. Cubillas D.	13. Parreno G. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 19. Sanchez J. 6. Sevilla S. 21. Valcarce P. 8. Villares D. 11. Davo 7. Perez L. (C)
Substitutes
8. Alonso G. 18. Areso J. 1. Azon J. (G) 6. Carro M. 19. Errahaly M. 17. Kortazar M. 20. Pedreno M. 7. Pichin Dani	5. Barcia D. 14. Cayarga B. 36. Lachevre M. 35. Lopez R. 1. Mackay I. (G) 26. Noriega J. 29. Ochoa M. 17. Rama H. 3. Retu 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Tarazona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Deportivo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.11.23	Tarazona - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	SD Logroñés - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Andratx - Tarazona	3:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Tarazona - Sestao	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWT
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.11.23	Deportivo A Coruña - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Real Unión de Irun - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

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